This will be something to watch. The Top 3 countries for tourist visits to the US in 2023 were:
1) Canada 31% in 2023
2) Mexico 22% in 2023
3) UK 6% in 2023
And it appears there has been a sharp decline in Canadians traveling to the U.S. United Airlines CEO noted that their weaker outlook is due to a drop in traffic:
“We’ve already started the process of where that capacity is coming out. A lot of it transborder, big drop in Canadian traffic to go into the U.S.”.
This could impact hotel occupancy in the U.S.
The U.S. hotel industry reported mixed year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 8 March. …
2-8 March 2025 (percentage change from comparable week in 2024):
• Occupancy: 62.4% (-1.4%)
• Average daily rate (ADR): US$160.53 (+2.1%)
• Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$100.11 (+0.6%)
emphasis added
The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using the four-week average.
The red line is for 2025, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2024. Dashed purple is for 2018, the record year for hotel occupancy.